Mr Bernanke's lies and Obama over
Today is March 1 of the day, with a view of the post as the new opening
for a month.
Now also can often see in many media discussion about whether the FED the FED to launch a third, and there were many large institutions (including international investment big line) is the FED will launch a third sometime in the future, I have to admit: the world say only in a few people or group hands forever.In my mind in the first half of last year before the end of the FED's QE2 didn't have a lot of the media in talking about the FED will soon to launch a third in 2011, however, it's time for the quarter of 2012 in the end, we haven't seen the shadow of the third. Early in July last year post "bernanke's testimony, third, and the price of crude oil 20110715, I have made clear that America will not launch a third, and points out that" historically, the job market recovery after the economic crisis, the United States generally slower than the growth of GDP and other economic data, during the Reagan administration in the 80 s when the us economy to recover from the crisis is that obvious features ".While the fed anyway and Obama re-elected President of the United States in 2012, 20110827, my views have changed, but after September the fed's operation twist, I always insist that we will not be able to see the fed's third again.
As early as around mid - 2011 the bernanke big talking about the FED will keep the ultra-low interest rates close to zero until the end of 2014.Mr Bernanke's acting is really good, Mr Bernanke didn't go as an actor is such a great loss!Because it seems to me that he had been talking about
a beautiful lie, I judge: in 2013, the fed will start raising interest rates, rather than keep the ultra-low interest rates close to zero by the end of 2014.
As early as the third quarter of last year I clear judgment: by 2012, the U.S. economy will usher in a bright spring, the U.S. economy in 2012 will be a strong recovery, last November, said in the blog "when many people are obsessed with GDP growth of false prosperity, China's economy in the winter quietly come, when the world say the United States to a double-dip recession, the U.S. economy in 2012 ushered in the bright spring"!With the strong recovery of the U.S. economy, and driven by oil inflation remained high, in 2013, the federal reserve to start raising interest rates will be very big probability event!
Facts speak louder than words, let's look at the following set of data and charts, let data tell us the real American economic status and the trend of the next few years.