Analysis of financial statements:
; How to raise ROA?
o Trade-off between Profit Margin and Asset Turnover
; What is the effect of financial leverage on ROE?
o Higher fin leverage magnifies ROE when ROA(gross) excess the interest on debt ; When are segmented financial statements useful?
o When the division’s projects differ in risk from the average company’s project?
; How to estimate the project-specific discount rate when there is no segmented financial statement?
; The S&P500 rose 30% during 1991 even though the US was in the midst of recession, with
unemployment over 7% and major corporations going bankrupt. How could the economy be doing
so poorly and the stock market be doing so well?
; Why might DCF valuation be difficult for a private firm, where the owner is planning to sell the
o It might be difficult to estimate how much of the success of the private firm is due to the
owner's special skills and contacts.
; Why might DCF valuation be difficult for a biotechnology firm, with no current products or sales,
but with several promising product patents in the pipeline?
o Since the firm has no history of earnings and cash flow growth and, in fact, no potential for
either in the near future, estimating near term cash flows may be impossible. ; Why might DCF valuation be difficult for a cyclical firm, during a recession?
o The firm's current earnings and cash flows may be depressed due to the recession. Other
measures, such as debt-equity ratios and return on assets may also be affected. ; Why might DCF valuation be difficult for a troubled firm, which has made significant losses and is
not expected to get out of trouble for a few years?
o Since discounted cash flow valuation requires positive cash flows some time in the near
term, valuing troubled firms, which are likely to have negative cash flows in the
foreseeable future, is likely to be difficult.
; The free cash flow to equity will always be higher than the net income of the firm, because
depreciation is added back. True or false?
o False. Capital expenditures may be greater than depreciation.
; The free cash flow to equity will always be higher than the dividend. True or false?
o False. The dividends can exceed the free cash flow to equity.
; The free cash flow to equity will always be higher than cash flow to the firm, because the latter is a
pre-debt cash flow. True or false?
o False. The FCFF is a pre-debt cash flow. In the long term, it can be equal to, but it cannot
be lower than the FCFE. In any one year, however, the FCFE can exceed the FCFF is there
are substantial new debt issues.
; Discounting nominal cash flows at the real discount rate will result in too low estimate of value.
True or false?
o False. It will result in too high value.
; If done right, the value estimated should be the same if either real cash flows are discounted at the
real discount rate or nominal cash flows are discounted at the nominal discount rate. True or false?
; If companies can raise prices at the same rate as inflation, their value should not be affected by
changes in the inflation rate. True or false?
o False. There might be loss of value due to loss of depreciation tax benefits. ; The dividend discount model cannot be used to value a high growth company that pays no
dividends. True or false?
o False. The dividend discount model can still be used to value the dividends that the
company will pay after the high growth eases.
; The dividend discount model will undervalue stocks, because it is too conservative. True or false?
o False. It depends upon the assumptions made about expected future growth and risk. ; The dividend discount model will find more undervalued stocks, when the overall stock market is
depressed. True or false?
o False. This will be true only if the stock market falls more than merited by changes in the
fundamentals (such as growth and cash flows).
; Stocks that are undervalued using the dividend discount model have generally made significant
positive excess returns over long periods (five years or more). True or false?
o True. Portfolios of stocks that are undervalued using the dividend discount model seem to
earn excess returns over long time periods.
NPV vs other capital budgeting methods:
; What are the drawbacks of the AAR (average accounting return) method of capital budgeting? ; Under which conditions do the NPV and the IRR criterions give the same answer?
o Making decision whether to accept a single classical investment project. ; How can one justify the use of (discounted) payback period as a method of evaluating investment
o As part of the sensitivity analysis.
; How should one modify the IRR method to choose between mutually exclusive projects?
o Incremental IRR.
; Describe situations in which the analysis of mutually exclusive projects of unequal lives based on
the annualized NPV (or equivalent annual cost) approach may give a wrong answer.
o The annualized NPV (or equivalent annual cost) approach relies on an implicit assumption
that the projects may be replicated at the same scale afterwards. However, it may not be
true, for example, due to time-varying discount rate, technological progress or any kind of
real option embedded in the project. Naturally, this approach will also require an
adjustment in presence of capital constraints.
; Under which conditions are the PI and NPV criterions equivalent in the constrained capital
budgeting? Why do companies sometimes prefer to use PI rather than NPV in practice?
o The (weighted) PI and NPV are equivalent criterions of evaluating projects under capital
constraints in one (initial) period. Capital budgeting with multi-period constraints can be
analyzed by NPV approach only. Companies often prefer to use PI rather than NPV for
evaluating projects with one-period capital constraints, since it is less computationally
intensive. You only have to compute individual projects’ PI’s and then, starting from
projects with the highest PI, choose the combination with the highest weighted PI. Thus,
you do not have to solve the linear programming problem.
; What is the relation between the NPV and value of the firm?
; The real options approach cannot make the NPV lower. True or false?
; Which type of real option lowers the probability of extreme negative outcomes? ; Which type of real option lowers the probability of extreme positive outcomes? ; Which type of real option lowers the probability of both negative and positive extreme outcomes? ; What are the key differences between the real and financial options?
; How to compute inputs for the Black-Scholes formula applied to real-life projects? ; Why can the Black-Scholes approach incorrectly value real options?
; Is it good or bad for the project to have the cost component of cash flows positively correlated with
the market (i.e., have costs rising in the up market)?
o If costs are positively correlated with the market (i.e., rise in the up market), they will
have higher beta and higher discount rate. Since costs are taken with minus, it increases
the NPV of the project.
; The leveraged buyout (LBO) is a purchase of the firm (often by its own managers) financed
primarily with debt. After the LBO takes place, the abnormally high amount of debt is usually
sustained during several years and then the firm returns to the more conventional target debt-
equity ratio similar to those used by other firms in the industry. Which method(s) of evaluating
long-run projects should be used by the company right after the LBO?
o There are two regimes of debt policy: during several years after the LBO the company
keeps the amount of debt constant; then it changes the debt-equity ratio to keep it at the
target level. Therefore, the project’s cash flows realized during the first regime should
be analyzed using APV and those during the second regime – using FTE or WACC.
Alternatively, one may also use FTE or WACC for the cash flows realized during the
first regime, but with time-specific cost of equity or WACC computed for each year. ; Describe several cases when the actual tax shield of debt is less than the amount of debt payment
times the corporate tax rate in a given year.
o The actual tax shield of debt is less than the theoretical one according to the MM
model (debt payment times the corporate tax rate) in two general cases. First, when
EBIT is smaller than debt payment in a given year. This can happen when the company
actively uses other tax shields (e.g., from depreciation or tax credit) or when the
company is in financial distress. In the extreme, when the company is close to
bankruptcy and incurs losses, there is nothing to shield from taxes. Second, when the
personal tax rates on income from stocks and bonds are different (as in Miller’s model).
; What is the general formula for the (levered) equity beta when debt’s beta is different from zero?
; Which theories predict 100% debt in the capital structure?
; Does convertible bond have a lower cost for the firm than simple bond?
o No, since it includes an option (warrant), which has relatively high risk and cost of
; Are large financial reserves carried by the firm good for its shareholders? ; When a firm repurchases its own shares, it pays out cash and receives Treasury stock that is of no
productive value to the firm. How might shareholders gain from such a transaction? ; Which firm would you expect to pay higher dividends: US or Brazilian?
o US, since volatile CFs preclude consistently high dividends in Brazil. ; Which firm would you expect to pay higher dividends: US or German?
o US, since large shareholders (which is typical for Germany) don’t need high dividends.
; Which firm would you expect to pay higher dividends: utility or pharmaceuticals?
o Utility, because of more regulation and lower growth opportunities. ; Which firm would you expect to pay higher dividends: telecom or software?
o Telecom because of larger size and higher share of tangible assets. ; Which firm would you expect to pay higher dividends: private or public?
; Does the strong underpricing of IPOs imply an arbitrage opportunity?
o Participating in an IPO does not guarantee a profit, since not all of them are underpriced. In
any case, most profits go to the informed as a reward for information acquisition. ; Что препятствует буму IPO в России?
o Низкие стандарты корпоративного управления, при которых миноритарные
акционеры несут высокие риски размывания капитала
o Асимметрия информации между собственниками и инвесторами и, как следствие,
недооценка акций на IPO
o Маленький размер многих компаний и высокие относительные издержки IPO
o Нежелание собственников становиться более прозрачными
o Опасения собственников потерять контроль
o Низкая ликвидность фондового рынка
o Слабые местные инвестиционные банки
o Предпочтение многих компаний делать IPO на более развитых зарубежных рынках
; How will the following factors affect the probability of a takeover’s success?
o The initial ownership stake of the raider: +
o The uncertainty over the value of the target firm: +
o The degree of dispersion in the stock ownership of the target firm: - ; How will the shareholders react to the adoption of the golden parachutes (cash payments made to a
top executive if he loses his job after a takeover)?